Monday, August 20, 2012

Global Warming and Climate Change

I am a denier. I make no bones about it and will take every opportunity to challenge the ACG school about it. I have seen much of the data and read a lot of the"sky is falling" rhetoric but have not seen any definitive cause and effect documentation. Is the CO2 concentration increasing in the atmosphere? Yes, I think it is based on empirical evidence. Does that mean the Earth will get warmer? I am not convinced that there is a cause and effect there. All the subjective conclusions are based on computer models and my xperience with computers is "garbage in garbage out". There are too many variables to depend on a computer model. The assumptions you must make are too numerous and our knowledge base doesn't give us enough information. Even ice cores which we can examine for CO2 levels have shown that CO2 levels actually trailed warming historically. Besides CO2 is only 0.038% of the atmosphere and is an integral part of all life based on earth. Are we so sure it is bad?
Well, what about glaciers melting? I am sure some glaciers and some sea ice is melting. Given that there are 160,000 glaciers worldwide and only 37 have records going back 30 years and only 120 have been directly measured. I doubt that they can extrapolate to the extent they have accurately. In the Hidu Kush Himalayan Range there are estimated to be 54,000 glaciers of which only 10 have been studied regularly.
If you assume that all the glaciers are melting then it is logical to assume sea level will rise but they aren't and it won't. No one has been able to show definitavely that sea levels are rising and Nils-Axel Mörner, Swedish geologist and physicist, who for 35 years has been using every known scientific method to study sea levels all over the globe, says that all this talk about the sea rising is nothing but a colossal scare story.
When I see that CO2 is only 0.038% of the atmosphere and is necessary for all life forms on earth. When I see global warming computer models showing glaciers melting and sea level rising when they have only studied less than 1% of total glaciers and they can't demonstrate sea level rising I guess I would say I am skeptical.
I have an open mind and if I see more empirical evidence I might be swayed but assumtions based on computer models and supposition probably won't do it.

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